Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.189927 0.220530 0.254529 0.295112 0.342258 0.395327 0.459639
2025-04-27 0.144766 0.186313 0.237433 0.305014 0.392129 0.500819 0.647025
2025-05-04 0.120630 0.166626 0.227334 0.313447 0.432722 0.592520 0.823622
2025-05-11 0.102422 0.149847 0.216118 0.315676 0.461904 0.669549 0.988207
2025-05-18 0.087568 0.134627 0.203707 0.312766 0.481288 0.732962 1.139602
2025-05-25 0.074455 0.119629 0.188913 0.303242 0.488094 0.776865 1.265445
2025-06-01 0.067704 0.113277 0.186041 0.311101 0.521906 0.865162 1.471143
2025-06-08 0.060791 0.105575 0.179782 0.312199 0.544165 0.936631 1.657286
2025-06-15 0.055748 0.100256 0.176608 0.317734 0.574040 1.023568 1.880087
2025-06-22 0.049494 0.091955 0.167197 0.310920 0.580908 1.070643 2.036671
2025-06-29 0.044710 0.085676 0.160536 0.308072 0.594270 1.130312 2.223181
2025-07-06 0.041172 0.081263 0.156711 0.309920 0.616405 1.208340 2.453993
2025-07-13 0.039381 0.080086 0.159003 0.324187 0.665085 1.344296 2.820305
2025-07-20 0.037340 0.078172 0.159656 0.335313 0.708990 1.476419 3.197227
2025-07-27 0.035300 0.075988 0.159467 0.344591 0.750047 1.607361 3.588571
2025-08-03 0.032821 0.072557 0.156280 0.347044 0.776691 1.710902 3.933250
2025-08-10 0.030115 0.068301 0.150830 0.343841 0.790376 1.787759 4.227462
2025-08-17 0.027125 0.063045 0.142599 0.333359 0.786217 1.824180 4.432135
2025-08-24 0.025868 0.061603 0.142688 0.342008 0.827462 1.969067 4.914958
2025-08-31 0.024197 0.058986 0.139788 0.343217 0.851056 2.075211 5.316452
2025-09-07 0.022990 0.057340 0.138960 0.349308 0.887258 2.215785 5.823194
2025-09-14 0.021066 0.053699 0.132949 0.341809 0.888437 2.270064 6.113396
2025-09-21 0.019569 0.050963 0.128851 0.338674 0.900432 2.353020 6.490895